PGA tour: 3M Open fantasy picks, plays, and predictions

This week we head to the 3M Open, being held at the TPC Twin Cities golf course in Blaine, Minnesota.

First we need to look back at The Memorial from last weekend and evaluate our results.

If you have been reading my fantasy golf articles and maybe following some of the advice I have been giving out, you would have had the same results as me. A very solid 22nd out of 2000 on FantasyDraft was the results last week. A very nice 7x return on my money.

This week we head for the second ever 3M Open. Matthew Wolff won in 2019 with a score of 21 under par. I am going to actually stay away from him this week. He has been wildly inconsistent. In 6 events since the restart he has had 3 missed cuts, a 2nd place, a T-22, and a 54th place finish. As the 6th most expensive buy this week, I will try and find better value elsewhere.

Dustin Johnson, the fourth ranked golfer in the world, is the betting favorite this week. After his disastrous back to back 80’s last week, we will avoid him as well.

If you look up and down the top 15 or 20 players in values, you see everyone is wildly inconsistent since the restart that is participating this week. Dustin Johnson, Brooks Koepka, Bubba Watson are just a few names missing multiple cuts the last 5 weeks.

So we are building our roster around Tony Finau, Harris English, and Lucas Glover. Finau was in contention last week, holding a share of the 36 hole lead. English finished 13th after recovering from a positive Covid test 2 weeks prior. Glover has yet to miss a cut. He has finished between 20th and 38th in all five tournaments since the restart. We then went with Henrik Norlander, who has a t-6 and t-12 in two of the last three weeks.

To round out the lineup I had to dig deep into some stats and really get a feel for who was in this less than deep field. Sam Ryder finished a t-7th in the Workday event two weeks ago and shot 3 of his four rounds at this same event last year in the 60’s. So we are ignoring his two missed cuts and taking him. Seamus Powers has only played one event since the restart. In the Rocket Mortgage Classic, he finished t-12 and with several top ten finishes last year is the type of player that could succeed in this lighter field. Finally Carlos Ortiz rounds out my roster. I thought about Charles Howell III but went away from him due to him being one of the few known names and as a result possibly having high ownership. Ortiz is the type of player that can go low quickly. He also had made two straight cuts before taking the last two weeks off. He should be fresh and ready to go.

These picks are based off values as always from FantasyDraft. If you have not used their site, give it a try. Smaller fields and great pay structures are their thing, along with rake free fantasy.

As always try and mix it up a bit, have fun, and most importantly win some money! If you have any comments or questions always let me know. You can find me on twitter beardaknowledge.

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